It has definitely been a while, and my fingers feel it. Hell, your eyes feel it. Nothing’s really rolling off the tongue anymore. It’s kind of like stuffing your mouth full of cotton balls the morning after a real bender. Rough, a little dry and oh-so-sticky. But hey, some people like saltines. I’m more of a cream cracker kind of blogger though, so let’s get to it.
Given two decision trees, one with a 100% probability of a 2M Euro payoff, and the other with a 89% probability of 2M, 10% of 3M and 1% of 0, which would you choose?
The safe b-school versus the gamble? E(V) analysis? Gut feeling? “LBS vs INSEAD?”
I chose to roll the dice.
What’s that, you ask? What’d they come up with?
Well, I’m not sure yet, and I don’t know if I’ll honestly be able to answer that question for another five or ten years. Some fellow J08′ers have hit the seven, and then some. Others have rolled snake-eyes. Whaddya gonna do? We all chose to play the game, right? No one held guns to our heads and said, “INSEAD, or else.” Well, actually, in light of the crazy shit that goes down here, and the even crazier stories that my colleagues carry with them, I guess I can’t be so sure.
June 12, 2008 at 9:20 am |
yo – welcome back. Itchy fingers, eh? Hope to see more coming up and that this isn’t a “one-off.” What happened to the signature poem/song?
June 13, 2008 at 9:18 pm |
DTLF lives! Long live DTLF.